AI Marketing ROI Forecasting Scientist
Build ML-driven forecasting models that measure and predict marketing spend ROI across enterprise campaigns.
Role Overview & Operational Scope
As an AI Marketing ROI Forecasting Scientist at Cehpoint, you will own the end-to-end development of predictive and causal models that quantify how every marketing dollar translates into measurable business outcomes. Your work will directly shape multimillion-dollar budget allocations across our enterprise clients, bridging rigorous statistical science with actionable growth insights.
Key Responsibilities & Production Deliverables
- Design and implement marketing mix models (MMM), multi-touch attribution (MTA), and uplift/causal inference models to forecast campaign ROI and incrementality.
- Build and maintain scalable feature pipelines ingesting ad spend, clickstream, CRM, web analytics, and macroeconomic signals from cloud data warehouses.
- Conduct rigorous experiment design, power analysis, and causal identification strategies; validate model predictions against holdout markets and randomized campaigns.
- Develop Bayesian hierarchical and probabilistic ML models to quantify uncertainty, detect diminishing returns, and segment ROI by channel, geography, and audience cohort.
- Translate model outputs into executive-ready dashboards and narrative reports, partnering with marketing leadership to convert forecasts into budget-recommendation playbooks.
- Stay current with frontier research in marketing science, LLM-augmented attribution, and privacy-safe measurement frameworks; prototype and productionize promising approaches.
Mandatory Foundational Knowledge
- Causal inference foundations β potential outcomes, propensity scoring, instrumental variables, difference-in-differences, and their marketing-science applications.
- Bayesian statistics & probabilistic programming β hierarchical models, MCMC/VI inference, posterior predictive checks, and uncertainty quantification for decision-making.
- Marketing science fundamentals β media-mix modeling, brand-lift experimentation, funnel attribution, and the interplay between short-term performance and long-term brand equity.
Mandatory Practical Skills & Architecture
- Python β scikit-learn, XGBoost/LightGBM, Prophet, PyMC/Stan, statsmodels
- SQL & cloud data platforms β BigQuery or Snowflake, dbt for transformation layers
- Experimentation tooling β R or Python for A/B-test analysis, power & sample-size calculations
- Visualization & communication β Python (Matplotlib, Seaborn, Plotly) and BI tools (Tableau/Power BI/Looker)
- MLOps & version control β Git, MLflow or equivalent, Docker for reproducible model packaging
Problem Solving, Execution Rigor & Curiosity
- Relentlessly questions whether a correlation is truly causal before recommending spend reallocation β digs into confounders and selection bias.
- Explores unconventional data sources (geolocation, weather, event calendars, competitor signals) to extract marginal predictive value for ROI models.
- Continuously challenges the status quo of traditional attribution by prototyping privacy-preserving measurement techniques and LLM-augmented insights.
5-day live technical evaluation milestone
Over a 5-working-day evaluation milestone, candidates will receive an anonymized, realistic dataset spanning 18 months of campaign-level ad-spend, impressions, clicks, conversions, and revenue across 6 digital channels and 4 geographies. Deliverables include: (Day 1β2) exploratory data analysis and feature-engineering blueprint with a diagnostic report; (Day 3β4) a calibrated marketing mix model (Bayesian or frequentist) that produces channel-level ROI estimates with credible/confidence intervals, plus sensitivity analysis on media-efficiency saturation curves; (Day 5) an executive-facing presentation and a short technical appendix explaining assumptions, validation strategy (back-testing & holdout metrics), and one recommended budget reallocation with expected ROI delta. Evaluation focuses on analytical rigor, reproducibility, clear communication, and practical business impact.
Institutional hiring protocol: candidates who clear resume screening take a live practical milestone of strictly 5 working days. Verifiable completion and code audit by your assigned engineering mentor is the sole prerequisite for the official offer letter.
Compensation, Total Rewards & Advancement
- Competitive annual compensation (βΉ12LββΉ20L) with performance-linked bonuses and early equity eligibility.
- Fully remote setup with a home-office stipend and flexible hybrid days at our Bengaluru headquarters.
- Access to dedicated GPU credits and premium cloud compute for model training and experimentation.
- Structured mentorship from senior data scientists and marketing-science leads, plus annual conference budget for NeurIPS, WSDM, or INMA.
- Health insurance covering self and family, generous leave policy, and a sabbatical program after 4 years of service.
Dedicated inbox for this role
Questions, private repository links or portfolio references for this opening route straight to the engineering leads reviewing it.
ai-marketing-roi-forecasting-scientist-careers@cehpoint.co.in
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